NOW THAT THE RESULTS ARE IN, ONCOLOGISTS AND HEALTHCARE PROVIDERS CAN FOCUS THEIR ACA CONCERNS
The re-election of Barack Obama has profound implications for cancer stakeholders. Cancer care is affected by provisions in the Affordable Care Act such as:
Below is a short primer on the implications of Wednesday night’s election results and a prelude to the Forecasting issue which will be published in the January issue of OBR. Further below are the results of a survey conducted the day after the election (Wednesday Nov 7) on 62 oncology health care professionals.
Affordable Care Act
With President Obama’s reelection, implementation of the Affordable Care Act will proceed as planned. However, there are still significant issues outstanding.
To date HHS deadlines have all been set through guidance and are not enforceable through regulation. Additionally, with a split Congress it is likely that HHS may grant states more flexibility, especially when it comes to deadlines.
Over the next two months there will be serious deficit reduction debates in efforts to avoid the planned sequestration. Health spending will likely be targeted, below are possibilities:
Finally, two additional points of concern from our vantage point consulting for many OBR readers. We expect that commercial payers will key off many of these activities especially the bundled payment and demonstration scenarios and potentially co-payments or re-designed payment for lab services. We also believe CMS and FDA will continue to proliferate data mining as a mutually beneficial opportunity for both agencies and continue to explore opportunities to collaborate. The agencies have been working in tandem on parallel review and national coverage determination activities and we do expect some changes to the coverage with evidence development (CED) evidentiary guidelines and process.
Contributed by Marc Samuels, MPH, JD and Valerie Hutchins, Hillco Health
POLL SHOWS SOME COMMUNITY ONCOLOGY GROUPS CONCERNED ABOUT ELECTION’S IMPACT
As a stark backdrop to the HillCo Health issues cited above, OBR conducted a survey of 62 oncology practice leaders (MDs and practice managers included) on the day after the election (Wednesday Nov 7th) and found that oncology practice leaders are, in some respects, more concerned about their business than they are access to quality cancer care. Some see the President’s win as an affirmation that the provisions of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) will remain and therefore will increase access to cancer care. On the other hand, providers in other oncology groups — still struggling in markets weakened by the economy — disagree, indicating that as a result they will hold off on plans to expand.
Below we detail the results of our survey. 85% of the poll respondents are from community oncology practices with at least 3 board certified oncologists. N=49 MDs and 13 Administrators.
53% believe the President’s re-election will increase access to cancer care because the ACA calls for an increase in the number of citizens with insurance.
41% disagree, believing that the insurance mandates may increase practice volume and income in the short term but they will decrease access long term because fewer primary care providers will be able to accept patients with the government’s insurance plans, leading to potential delays in cancer diagnosis.
One quote in particular resonated – “Have you tried to find a PCP for someone aged 65 and older?” asked one oncologist from Tennessee. “Try adding several more million into the mix [due to the ACA].”
34% said the President’s re-election means it is now more likely that they will pursue a merger with another group to be able “gain leverage over payers” and reduce operational risks. “If you can’t beat them, join them. It’s survival,” said one group administrator from Kansas. Of those more likely to pursue a group merger about half said they are now more likely to look into development of an accountable care organization or ACO, the concept created under the President’s Affordable Care Act that gives providers opportunities to share in savings for better quality care.
27% said they were waiting for the election to decide as a group whether to sell their practice to a hospital or academic center; now, with the President’s re-election, all 27% said they will begin this process, citing concerns about lower reimbursement and greater demands on practice economics.
Overall, 37 of the 62 said the election results will have no impact on their business strategy or operations while 25 believe they will. Many of those who will make a change said their practice is located in an economically weakened market and “volume has not returned to pre-recession levels,” so a President Obama victory, in their opinion, did not “reassure” them. Several groups said they will intentionally delay plans to hire more staff and “see fewer patients” due to pressure on their reimbursement and volume; others said they will “not expand their office locations” in the timeline planned.
Of the 25 who will make a change due to the President’s re-election, 15 voted for Gov. Romney, 9 voted for President Obama and 1 did not say. OBR believes its respondent mix is somewhat more conservative in ideology.
These results are meant to be an initial evaluation of opinions, and a larger study is required to draw valid conclusions concerning the impact of the election on oncologists. Regardless, the next two months will be critical, as we approach the fiscal cliff, in determining attitudes and perspectives toward the future of cancer care.
Contributed by Bryan Cote, OBR
PS – if you are interested in sponsoring a larger study on the impact of the election, contact the publisher at firstname.lastname@example.org
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